SAMIYO

Admin

SAMIYO

Picks, odds and edge

All sports Football Baseball Esports

Admin

SAMIYO

Picks, odds and edge

All sports Football Baseball Esports

FinalFT 1-2

Atlético Madrid

FT 1-204/05/2026, 02:00 AM

Barcelona

La Liga / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

A1X2low confidence

Probability

54.8%

Odds

2.32

Model odds

1.82

EV / Edge

+27.2%

Kelly

20.6%

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.

NOBTTSlow confidence

Probability

53.7%

Odds

2.77

Model odds

1.86

EV / Edge

+48.7%

Kelly

27.5%

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.

UNDERTotal 2.5medium confidence

Probability

64.6%

Odds

2.50

Model odds

1.55

EV / Edge

+61.6%

Kelly

41.1%

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.

UNDERTotal 3high confidence

Probability

75.0%

Odds

2.11

Model odds

1.33

EV / Edge

+58.3%

Kelly

52.5%

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.

UNDERTotal 3.25high confidence

Probability

78.9%

Odds

1.87

Model odds

1.27

EV / Edge

+47.5%

Kelly

54.5%

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.

UNDERTotal 3.5high confidence

Probability

81.8%

Odds

1.74

Model odds

1.22

EV / Edge

+42.4%

Kelly

57.3%

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.

System picks

UNDERTotal

Confidence

64.6%

Odds

2.50

EV / Edge

+61.6%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.

YESBTTS

Confidence

74.9%

Odds

1.43

EV / Edge

+24.9%

Kelly

BTTS side YES chosen from current pricing.

OVERTotal

Confidence

70.4%

Odds

1.53

EV / Edge

+20.4%

Kelly

Total side OVER chosen from line 2.5 pricing.

A1X2

Confidence

54.9%

Odds

2.30

EV / Edge

0.0%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.

Details

Match context

Competition

La Liga

Sport

Football

Kickoff

04/05/2026, 02:00 AM

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

1X2

1 books

AwayPick

2.28

54.8%+27.2% EV

Draw

3.75

23.2%+27.2% EV

Home

3.05

22.0%+27.2% EV

BTTS

1 books

2.77

Yes

1.48

Total

2.5

1 books

Over 2.5

1.53

Under 2.5

2.50

Total

1 books

Over 3

1.80

Under 3

2.11

Total

3.25

1 books

Over 3.2

2.02

Under 3.2

1.87

Total

3.5

1 books

Over 3.5

2.18

Under 3.5

1.65

FinalFT 1-2

Atlético Madrid

FT 1-204/05/2026, 02:00 AM

Barcelona

La Liga / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

A1X2low confidence

Probability

54.8%

Odds

2.32

Model odds

1.82

EV / Edge

+27.2%

Kelly

20.6%

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.

NOBTTSlow confidence

Probability

53.7%

Odds

2.77

Model odds

1.86

EV / Edge

+48.7%

Kelly

27.5%

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.

UNDERTotal 2.5medium confidence

Probability

64.6%

Odds

2.50

Model odds

1.55

EV / Edge

+61.6%

Kelly

41.1%

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.

UNDERTotal 3high confidence

Probability

75.0%

Odds

2.11

Model odds

1.33

EV / Edge

+58.3%

Kelly

52.5%

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.

UNDERTotal 3.25high confidence

Probability

78.9%

Odds

1.87

Model odds

1.27

EV / Edge

+47.5%

Kelly

54.5%

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.

UNDERTotal 3.5high confidence

Probability

81.8%

Odds

1.74

Model odds

1.22

EV / Edge

+42.4%

Kelly

57.3%

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.

System picks

UNDERTotal

Confidence

64.6%

Odds

2.50

EV / Edge

+61.6%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.

YESBTTS

Confidence

74.9%

Odds

1.43

EV / Edge

+24.9%

Kelly

BTTS side YES chosen from current pricing.

OVERTotal

Confidence

70.4%

Odds

1.53

EV / Edge

+20.4%

Kelly

Total side OVER chosen from line 2.5 pricing.

A1X2

Confidence

54.9%

Odds

2.30

EV / Edge

0.0%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.

Details

Match context

Competition

La Liga

Sport

Football

Kickoff

04/05/2026, 02:00 AM

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

1X2

1 books

AwayPick

2.28

54.8%+27.2% EV

Draw

3.75

23.2%+27.2% EV

Home

3.05

22.0%+27.2% EV

BTTS

1 books

2.77

Yes

1.48

Total

2.5

1 books

Over 2.5

1.53

Under 2.5

2.50

Total

1 books

Over 3

1.80

Under 3

2.11

Total

3.25

1 books

Over 3.2

2.02

Under 3.2

1.87

Total

3.5

1 books

Over 3.5

2.18

Under 3.5

1.65