SAMIYO

Admin

SAMIYO

Picks, odds and edge

All sports Football Baseball Esports

Admin

SAMIYO

Picks, odds and edge

All sports Football Baseball Esports

FinalFT 2-2

Alavés

FT 2-204/06/2026, 02:00 AM

CA Osasuna

La Liga / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

H1X2low confidence

Probability

48.7%

Odds

2.49

Model odds

2.05

EV / Edge

+21.3%

Kelly

14.3%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

NOBTTShigh confidence

Probability

79.5%

Odds

1.88

Model odds

1.26

EV / Edge

+49.5%

Kelly

56.2%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotal 1.5medium confidence

Probability

70.4%

Odds

2.80

Model odds

1.42

EV / Edge

+97.2%

Kelly

54.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotal 2high confidence

Probability

77.2%

Odds

2.16

Model odds

1.29

EV / Edge

+66.8%

Kelly

57.6%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotal 2.25high confidence

Probability

80.3%

Odds

1.88

Model odds

1.24

EV / Edge

+51.0%

Kelly

58.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotal 2.5high confidence

Probability

83.3%

Odds

1.71

Model odds

1.20

EV / Edge

+42.4%

Kelly

59.8%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

System picks

D1X2

Confidence

48.7%

Odds

3.35

EV / Edge

0.0%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

A1X2

Confidence

41.7%

Odds

3.30

EV / Edge

0.0%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotal

Confidence

70.4%

Odds

2.80

EV / Edge

+97.2%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

NOBTTS

Confidence

79.5%

Odds

1.88

EV / Edge

+49.5%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

OVERTotal

Confidence

73.0%

Odds

1.47

EV / Edge

+23.0%

Kelly

Total side OVER chosen from line 1.5 pricing.

H1X2

Confidence

50.4%

Odds

2.20

EV / Edge

+0.4%

Kelly

1X2 side H chosen from current pricing.

Details

Match context

Competition

La Liga

Sport

Football

Kickoff

04/06/2026, 02:00 AM

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

1X2

2 books

Away

3.03

22.3%+21.3% EV

Draw

3.16

28.9%+21.3% EV

HomePick

2.37

48.7%+21.3% EV

BTTS

1 books

1.88

Yes

1.96

Total

1.5

1 books

Over 1.5

1.42

Under 1.5

2.75

Total

1 books

Over 2

1.77

Under 2

2.16

Total

2.25

1 books

Over 2.2

1.99

Under 2.2

1.88

Total

2.5

1 books

Over 2.5

2.34

Under 2.5

1.70

FinalFT 2-2

Alavés

FT 2-204/06/2026, 02:00 AM

CA Osasuna

La Liga / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

H1X2low confidence

Probability

48.7%

Odds

2.49

Model odds

2.05

EV / Edge

+21.3%

Kelly

14.3%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

NOBTTShigh confidence

Probability

79.5%

Odds

1.88

Model odds

1.26

EV / Edge

+49.5%

Kelly

56.2%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotal 1.5medium confidence

Probability

70.4%

Odds

2.80

Model odds

1.42

EV / Edge

+97.2%

Kelly

54.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotal 2high confidence

Probability

77.2%

Odds

2.16

Model odds

1.29

EV / Edge

+66.8%

Kelly

57.6%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotal 2.25high confidence

Probability

80.3%

Odds

1.88

Model odds

1.24

EV / Edge

+51.0%

Kelly

58.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotal 2.5high confidence

Probability

83.3%

Odds

1.71

Model odds

1.20

EV / Edge

+42.4%

Kelly

59.8%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

System picks

D1X2

Confidence

48.7%

Odds

3.35

EV / Edge

0.0%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

A1X2

Confidence

41.7%

Odds

3.30

EV / Edge

0.0%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotal

Confidence

70.4%

Odds

2.80

EV / Edge

+97.2%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

NOBTTS

Confidence

79.5%

Odds

1.88

EV / Edge

+49.5%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

OVERTotal

Confidence

73.0%

Odds

1.47

EV / Edge

+23.0%

Kelly

Total side OVER chosen from line 1.5 pricing.

H1X2

Confidence

50.4%

Odds

2.20

EV / Edge

+0.4%

Kelly

1X2 side H chosen from current pricing.

Details

Match context

Competition

La Liga

Sport

Football

Kickoff

04/06/2026, 02:00 AM

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

1X2

2 books

Away

3.03

22.3%+21.3% EV

Draw

3.16

28.9%+21.3% EV

HomePick

2.37

48.7%+21.3% EV

BTTS

1 books

1.88

Yes

1.96

Total

1.5

1 books

Over 1.5

1.42

Under 1.5

2.75

Total

1 books

Over 2

1.77

Under 2

2.16

Total

2.25

1 books

Over 2.2

1.99

Under 2.2

1.88

Total

2.5

1 books

Over 2.5

2.34

Under 2.5

1.70