Fixtures

Picks, odds and edge

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FinalFT 2-2

Alavés

FT 2-204/06/2026, 02:00 AM UTC+7

CA Osasuna

La Liga / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

H1X2low confidence

Probability

48.7%

Odds

2.49

Model odds

2.05

EV / Edge

+21.3%

Kelly

14.3%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

NOBTTShigh confidence

Details

Match context

Competition

La Liga

Sport

Football

Kickoff

04/06/2026, 02:00 AM UTC+7

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

Odds

Market prices

1X2

A

stale / 2 books

3.03

1X2

D

stale / 2 books

3.16

1X2

H

stale / 2 books

2.37

BTTS

No

stale / 1 books

1.88

BTTS

Yes

stale / 1 books

1.96

Probability

79.5%

Odds

1.88

Model odds

1.26

EV / Edge

+49.5%

Kelly

56.2%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotalmedium confidence

Probability

70.4%

Odds

2.80

Model odds

1.42

EV / Edge

+97.2%

Kelly

54.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotalhigh confidence

Probability

77.2%

Odds

2.16

Model odds

1.29

EV / Edge

+66.8%

Kelly

57.6%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotalhigh confidence

Probability

80.3%

Odds

1.88

Model odds

1.24

EV / Edge

+51.0%

Kelly

58.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotalhigh confidence

Probability

83.3%

Odds

1.71

Model odds

1.20

EV / Edge

+42.4%

Kelly

59.8%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

System picks

D1X2

Confidence

48.7%

Odds

3.35

EV / Edge

0.0%

Kelly

--

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

A1X2

Confidence

41.7%

Odds

3.30

EV / Edge

0.0%

Kelly

--

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotal

Confidence

70.4%

Odds

2.80

EV / Edge

+97.2%

Kelly

--

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

NOBTTS

Confidence

79.5%

Odds

1.88

EV / Edge

+49.5%

Kelly

--

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

OVERTotal

Confidence

73.0%

Odds

1.47

EV / Edge

+23.0%

Kelly

--

Total side OVER chosen from line 1.5 pricing.

H1X2

Confidence

50.4%

Odds

2.20

EV / Edge

+0.4%

Kelly

--

1X2 side H chosen from current pricing.

Total

Over 2.2

stale / 1 books

1.99

Total

Under 2.2

stale / 1 books

1.88

Market	Selection	Line	Books	Odds
1X2	A	--	2	3.03
1X2	D	--	2	3.16
1X2	H	--	2	2.37
BTTS	No	--	1	1.88
BTTS	Yes	--	1	1.96
Total	Over 2.2	2.25	1	1.99
Total	Under 2.2	2.25	1	1.88