SAMIYO

FinalFT 2-3

Montréal Canadiens

FT 2-305/13/2026, 06:00 AM

Buffalo Sabres

NHL / Ice Hockey

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

AWAYMoneylinelow confidence

Probability

52.1%

Odds

2.25

Model odds

1.92

EV / Edge

+17.3%

Kelly

13.9%

Recent shot-share trend is materially tilted.

HOMEPuck Line -1.5medium confidence

Probability

56.7%

Odds

2.80

Model odds

1.76

EV / Edge

+58.8%

Kelly

32.7%

Recent shot-share trend is materially tilted.
Puck-line probability is adjusted against the offered spread.

UNDERTotal 6.5low confidence

Probability

52.2%

Odds

1.83

Model odds

1.92

EV / Edge

-4.5%

Kelly

0.0%

Recent shot-share trend is materially tilted.
Total probability blends recent pace, shots, and crease strength.

Details

Match context

Competition

NHL

Sport

Ice Hockey

Kickoff

05/13/2026, 06:00 AM

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Recent shot-share trend is materially tilted.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

Moneyline

8 books

Montréal Canadiens

1.71

Buffalo Sabres

2.18

Puck Line

-1.5

8 books

Montréal Canadiens -1.5

2.75

Puck Line

+1.5

8 books

Buffalo Sabres +1.5

1.47

Total

4 books

Over 6

1.81

Under 6

2.04

Total

6.5

4 books

Over 6.5

2.04

Under 6.5

1.79