SAMIYO

FinalFT 2-2

Bournemouth

FT 2-204/23/2026, 03:00 AM

Leeds

Premier League / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

H1X2low confidence

Probability

48.6%

Odds

2.02

Model odds

2.06

EV / Edge

-1.8%

Kelly

0.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Bournemouth.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

UNDERTotal 2.5medium confidence

Probability

55.6%

Odds

2.10

Model odds

1.80

EV / Edge

+16.7%

Kelly

15.2%

Recent five-match form leans toward Bournemouth.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Recent scoring pace informs the total line 2.5.

Details

Match context

Competition

Premier League

Sport

Football

Kickoff

04/23/2026, 03:00 AM

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Recent five-match form leans toward Bournemouth.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

1X2

2 books

Away

3.58

25.1%-1.8% EV

Draw

3.50

26.3%-1.8% EV

HomePick

2.01

48.6%-1.8% EV

Total

2.5

2 books

Over 2.5

1.72

Under 2.5

2.08