SAMIYO

FinalFT 3-1

Leeds

FT 3-105/02/2026, 03:00 AM

Burnley

Premier League / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

H1X2medium confidence

Probability

68.3%

Odds

1.34

Model odds

1.46

EV / Edge

-8.5%

Kelly

0.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Leeds.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

OVERTotal 2.5medium confidence

Probability

55.9%

Odds

1.67

Model odds

1.79

EV / Edge

-6.6%

Kelly

0.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Leeds.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

Details

Match context

Competition

Premier League

Sport

Football

Kickoff

05/02/2026, 03:00 AM

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Recent five-match form leans toward Leeds.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

1X2

2 books

Away

9.04

12.9%-8.5% EV

Draw

5.04

18.9%-8.5% EV

HomePick

1.33

68.3%-8.5% EV

Total

2.5

2 books

Over 2.5

1.66

Under 2.5

2.19