SAMIYO

FinalFT 3-0

Bournemouth

FT 3-005/03/2026, 09:00 PM

Crystal Palace

Premier League / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

H1X2medium confidence

Probability

59.4%

Odds

1.58

Model odds

1.68

EV / Edge

-6.1%

Kelly

0.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Bournemouth.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

OVERTotal 2.5medium confidence

Probability

55.9%

Odds

1.67

Model odds

1.79

EV / Edge

-6.6%

Kelly

0.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Bournemouth.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

Details

Match context

Competition

Premier League

Sport

Football

Kickoff

05/03/2026, 09:00 PM

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Recent five-match form leans toward Bournemouth.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

1X2

2 books

Away

5.22

19.2%-6.1% EV

Draw

4.25

21.4%-6.1% EV

HomePick

1.57

59.4%-6.1% EV

Total

2.5

2 books

Over 2.5

1.66

Under 2.5

2.19