SAMIYO

FinalFT 1-0

Arsenal

FT 1-005/19/2026, 03:00 AM

Burnley

Premier League / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

H1X2high confidence

Probability

76.4%

Odds

1.09

Model odds

1.31

EV / Edge

-16.7%

Kelly

0.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Arsenal.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

OVERTotal 2.5medium confidence

Probability

71.6%

Odds

1.33

Model odds

1.40

EV / Edge

-4.7%

Kelly

0.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Arsenal.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

Details

Match context

Competition

Premier League

Sport

Football

Kickoff

05/19/2026, 03:00 AM

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Recent five-match form leans toward Arsenal.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

1X2

2 books

Away

22.57

10.2%-16.7% EV

Draw

10.56

13.3%-16.7% EV

HomePick

1.08

76.4%-16.7% EV

Total

2.5

2 books

Over 2.5

1.33

Under 2.5

3.29