SAMIYO

FinalFT 1-1

Bournemouth

FT 1-105/20/2026, 02:30 AM

Man City

Premier League / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

A1X2low confidence

Probability

46.8%

Odds

1.67

Model odds

2.14

EV / Edge

-21.8%

Kelly

0.0%

Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

OVERTotal 2.5medium confidence

Probability

68.4%

Odds

1.44

Model odds

1.46

EV / Edge

-1.5%

Kelly

0.0%

Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Recent scoring pace informs the total line 2.5.

Details

Match context

Competition

Premier League

Sport

Football

Kickoff

05/20/2026, 02:30 AM

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

1X2

2 books

AwayPick

1.67

46.8%-21.8% EV

Draw

4.30

23.4%-21.8% EV

Home

4.46

29.7%-21.8% EV

Total

2.5

2 books

Over 2.5

1.43

Under 2.5

2.77