SAMIYO

FinalFT 2-0

Espanol

FT 2-005/14/2026, 01:00 AM

Athletic Bilbao

La Liga / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

A1X2low confidence

Probability

43.7%

Odds

2.70

Model odds

2.29

EV / Edge

+18.1%

Kelly

10.6%

Recent five-match form leans toward Athletic Bilbao.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotal 2.5low confidence

Probability

51.6%

Odds

1.67

Model odds

1.94

EV / Edge

-13.8%

Kelly

0.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Athletic Bilbao.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

Details

Match context

Competition

La Liga

Sport

Football

Kickoff

05/14/2026, 01:00 AM

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Recent five-match form leans toward Athletic Bilbao.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

1X2

2 books

AwayPick

2.69

43.7%+18.1% EV

Draw

3.25

26.4%+18.1% EV

Home

2.62

29.9%+18.1% EV

Total

2.5

2 books

Over 2.5

2.15

Under 2.5

1.67