SAMIYO

FinalFT 1-0

Alavés

FT 1-005/14/2026, 03:30 AM

Barcelona

La Liga / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

A1X2low confidence

Probability

51.6%

Odds

2.15

Model odds

1.94

EV / Edge

+10.9%

Kelly

9.5%

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

OVERTotal 2.5medium confidence

Probability

72.7%

Odds

1.50

Model odds

1.38

EV / Edge

+9.0%

Kelly

18.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

Details

Match context

Competition

La Liga

Sport

Football

Kickoff

05/14/2026, 03:30 AM

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Recent five-match form leans toward Barcelona.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

1X2

2 books

AwayPick

2.13

51.6%+10.9% EV

Draw

3.75

23.1%+10.9% EV

Home

3.10

25.3%+10.9% EV

Total

2.5

2 books

Over 2.5

1.48

Under 2.5

2.60