SAMIYO

FinalFT 4-2

Real Madrid

FT 4-205/24/2026, 03:00 AM

Athletic Bilbao

La Liga / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

H1X2medium confidence

Probability

61.0%

Odds

1.50

Model odds

1.64

EV / Edge

-8.4%

Kelly

0.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Real Madrid.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

OVERTotal 2.5low confidence

Probability

54.3%

Odds

1.50

Model odds

1.84

EV / Edge

-18.5%

Kelly

0.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Real Madrid.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

Details

Match context

Competition

La Liga

Sport

Football

Kickoff

05/24/2026, 03:00 AM

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Recent five-match form leans toward Real Madrid.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

1X2

2 books

Away

5.79

18.2%-8.4% EV

Draw

4.69

20.8%-8.4% EV

HomePick

1.48

61.0%-8.4% EV

Total

2.5

2 books

Over 2.5

1.49

Under 2.5

2.60