SAMIYO

Admin

SAMIYO

Picks, odds and edge

All sports Football Baseball Esports

Admin

SAMIYO

Picks, odds and edge

All sports Football Baseball Esports

Scheduled

Sevilla

VS04/12/2026, 02:00 AM

Atlético Madrid

La Liga / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

A1X2low confidence

Probability

43.2%

Odds

2.13

Model odds

2.31

EV / Edge

-7.9%

Kelly

0.0%

Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

YESBTTSmedium confidence

Probability

63.2%

Odds

1.86

Model odds

1.58

EV / Edge

+17.6%

Kelly

20.5%

Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

OVERTotal 2.5medium confidence

Probability

55.6%

Odds

1.99

Model odds

1.80

EV / Edge

+10.7%

Kelly

10.8%

Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

System picks

NOBTTS

Confidence

64.0%

Odds

2.01

EV / Edge

+28.6%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Sevilla.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

YESBTTS

Confidence

62.5%

Odds

1.74

EV / Edge

+12.5%

Kelly

BTTS side YES chosen from current pricing.

H1X2

Confidence

39.6%

Odds

3.75

EV / Edge

0.0%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Sevilla.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

OVERTotal

Confidence

73.5%

Odds

2.01

EV / Edge

0.0%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Sevilla.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotal

Confidence

73.4%

Odds

1.95

EV / Edge

+43.2%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Sevilla.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

A1X2

Confidence

56.3%

Odds

1.95

EV / Edge

+6.3%

Kelly

1X2 side A chosen from current pricing.

Details

Match context

Competition

La Liga

Sport

Football

Kickoff

04/12/2026, 02:00 AM

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

1X2

1 books

AwayPick

2.02

43.2%-7.9% EV

Draw

3.53

27.1%-7.9% EV

Home

3.65

29.7%-7.9% EV

BTTS

1 books

1.99

Yes

1.86

Total

2.5

1 books

Over 2.5

1.94

Under 2.5

1.89

Scheduled

Sevilla

VS04/12/2026, 02:00 AM

Atlético Madrid

La Liga / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

A1X2low confidence

Probability

43.2%

Odds

2.13

Model odds

2.31

EV / Edge

-7.9%

Kelly

0.0%

Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

YESBTTSmedium confidence

Probability

63.2%

Odds

1.86

Model odds

1.58

EV / Edge

+17.6%

Kelly

20.5%

Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

OVERTotal 2.5medium confidence

Probability

55.6%

Odds

1.99

Model odds

1.80

EV / Edge

+10.7%

Kelly

10.8%

Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

System picks

NOBTTS

Confidence

64.0%

Odds

2.01

EV / Edge

+28.6%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Sevilla.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

YESBTTS

Confidence

62.5%

Odds

1.74

EV / Edge

+12.5%

Kelly

BTTS side YES chosen from current pricing.

H1X2

Confidence

39.6%

Odds

3.75

EV / Edge

0.0%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Sevilla.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

OVERTotal

Confidence

73.5%

Odds

2.01

EV / Edge

0.0%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Sevilla.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotal

Confidence

73.4%

Odds

1.95

EV / Edge

+43.2%

Kelly

Recent five-match form leans toward Sevilla.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

A1X2

Confidence

56.3%

Odds

1.95

EV / Edge

+6.3%

Kelly

1X2 side A chosen from current pricing.

Details

Match context

Competition

La Liga

Sport

Football

Kickoff

04/12/2026, 02:00 AM

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Rest imbalance is material for this matchup.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

1X2

1 books

AwayPick

2.02

43.2%-7.9% EV

Draw

3.53

27.1%-7.9% EV

Home

3.65

29.7%-7.9% EV

BTTS

1 books

1.99

Yes

1.86

Total

2.5

1 books

Over 2.5

1.94

Under 2.5

1.89