SAMIYO

FinalFT 0-1

Oviedo

FT 0-105/18/2026, 01:00 AM

Alavés

La Liga / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

A1X2low confidence

Probability

52.0%

Odds

1.90

Model odds

1.92

EV / Edge

-1.2%

Kelly

0.0%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

UNDERTotal 2.5low confidence

Probability

51.8%

Odds

2.00

Model odds

1.93

EV / Edge

+3.5%

Kelly

3.5%

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.

Details

Match context

Competition

La Liga

Sport

Football

Kickoff

05/18/2026, 01:00 AM

Freshness

historical

Model notes

Recent five-match form leans toward Alavés.
Recent goal differential creates a clear gap.
Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

1X2

2 books

AwayPick

1.90

52.0%-1.2% EV

Draw

3.58

24.7%-1.2% EV

Home

3.69

23.3%-1.2% EV

Total

2.5

2 books

Over 2.5

1.80

Under 2.5

1.97