SAMIYO

Scheduled

Ecuador

VS06/21/2026, 07:00 AM

Curaçao

FIFA World Cup 2026 / Football

Prediction

SAMIYO model view

H1X2medium confidence

Probability

58.8%

Odds

3.52

Model odds

1.70

EV / Edge

+1.1%

Kelly

42.5%

Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

UNDERTotal 2.5medium confidence

Probability

69.6%

Odds

2.42

Model odds

1.44

EV / Edge

+68.5%

Kelly

48.2%

Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Recent scoring pace informs the total line 2.5.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

UNDERTotal 2.75medium confidence

Probability

72.7%

Odds

1.89

Model odds

1.37

EV / Edge

+37.5%

Kelly

42.1%

Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Recent scoring pace informs the total line 2.75.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

System picks

UNDERTotal

Confidence

69.6%

Odds

2.62

EV / Edge

+82.4%

Kelly

Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Recent scoring pace informs the total line 2.5.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

A1X2

Confidence

58.9%

Odds

35.00

EV / Edge

+5.5%

Kelly

Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

Details

Match context

Competition

FIFA World Cup 2026

Sport

Football

Kickoff

06/21/2026, 07:00 AM

Freshness

current_window

Model notes

Pregame market pricing reinforces the view.
Tier3 unavailable; predictor_v2 used lower-tier fallback.

Odds

Market prices

Green numbers mean the model expects positive expected value on that selection.

1X2

2 books

Away

19.50

18.6%+1.1% EV

Draw

8.00

22.6%+1.1% EV

HomePick

1.16

58.8%+1.1% EV

Spread

-2.5

1 books

Home

2.26

Spread

-2.25

1 books

Home

2.09

Spread

-2

1 books

Home

1.88

Spread

1 books

Away

1.98

Spread

+2.25

1 books

Away

1.83

Spread

+2.5

1 books

Away

1.64

Total

2.5

1 books

Over 2.5

1.60

Under 2.5

2.38

Total

2.75

2 books

Over 2.8

1.92

Under 2.8

1.89

Total

1 books

Over 3

2.02

Under 3

1.85

Total

3.25

1 books

Over 3.2

2.15

Under 3.2

1.69

Total

3.5

1 books

Over 3.5

2.28

Under 3.5

1.54